Combined impacts of future climate and land use changes on discharge, nitrogen and phosphorus loads for a Canadian river basin

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dc.contributor.author
El-Khoury, A.
Seidou, O.
Lapen, D.R.L.
Que, Z.
Mohammadian, M.
Sunohara, M.
Bahram, D.
dc.date.accepted
2014-12-04
dc.date.accessioned
2024-06-11T15:22:49Z
dc.date.available
2024-06-11T15:22:49Z
dc.date.issued
2014-12-20
dc.date.submitted
2013-09-22
dc.description.abstract - en
Both climate and land use changes can influence water quality and quantity in different ways. Thus, for predicting future water quality and quantity trends, simulations should ideally account for both projected climate and land use changes. In this paper, land use projections and climate change scenarios were integrated with hydrological model to estimate the relative impact of climate and land use projections on a suite of water quality and quantity endpoints for a Canadian watershed. Climatic time series representing SRES change scenario A2 were generated by downscaling the outputs of the Canadian Regional Climate Model (version 4.1.1) using a combination of quantile-quantile transformation and nearest neighbor search. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model was used to simulate streamflow, nitrogen and phosphorus loading under different climate and land use scenarios. Results showed that a) climate change will drive up maximum monthly streamflow, nitrate loads, and organic phosphorus loads, while decreasing organic nitrogen and nitrite loads; and b) land use changes were found to drive the same water quality/quantity variables in the same direction as climate change, except for organic nitrogen loads, for which the effects of the two stressors had a reverse impact on loading.
dc.description.fosrcfull - en
First available online in 2014, and then published with the journal in 2015.
dc.identifier.citation
El-Khoury, A., Seidou, O., Lapen, D. R., Que, Z., Mohammadian, M., Sunohara, M., & Bahram, D. (2015). Combined impacts of future climate and land use changes on discharge, nitrogen and phosphorus loads for a Canadian River Basin. Journal of Environmental Management, 151, 76–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.12.012
dc.identifier.doi
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.12.012
dc.identifier.uri
https://open-science.canada.ca/handle/123456789/2591
dc.language.iso
en
dc.publisher
Elsevier
dc.rights - en
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
dc.rights - fr
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
dc.rights.openaccesslevel - en
Gold
dc.rights.openaccesslevel - fr
Or
dc.rights.uri - en
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.uri - fr
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.fr
dc.subject - en
Agriculture
dc.subject - fr
Agriculture
dc.subject.en - en
Agriculture
dc.subject.fr - fr
Agriculture
dc.title - en
Combined impacts of future climate and land use changes on discharge, nitrogen and phosphorus loads for a Canadian river basin
dc.type - en
Article
dc.type - fr
Article
local.article.journaltitle
Journal of Environmental Management
local.article.journalvolume
151
local.pagination
76-86
local.peerreview - en
Yes
local.peerreview - fr
Oui
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