Scénarios contrefactuels des effets de la vaccination et des mesures de santé publique sur les cas de COVID-19 au Canada : qu’est-ce qui aurait pu arriver?
- DOI
- Language of the publication
- French
- Date
- 2022
- Type
- Accepted manuscript
- Author(s)
- Ogden, Nicholas H.
- Turgeon, Patricia
- Fazil, Aamir
- Clark, Julia
- Gabriele-Rivet, Vanessa
- Tam, Theresa
- Ng, Victoria
- Publisher
- L'Agence de la santé publique du Canada
Abstract
This study illustrates what may have happened, in terms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections, hospitalizations and deaths in Canada, had public health measures not been used to control the COVID-19 epidemic, and had restrictions been lifted with low levels of vaccination, or no vaccination, of the Canadian population. The timeline of the epidemic in Canada, and the public health interventions used to control the epidemic, are reviewed. Comparisons against outcomes in other countries and counterfactual modelling illustrate the relative success of control of the epidemic in Canada. Together, these observations show that without the use of restrictive measures and without high levels of vaccination, Canada could have experienced substantially higher numbers of infections and hospitalizations and almost a million deaths.
Subject
- Health
Rights
Pagination
322-333
Peer review
Yes
Open access level
Green
Identifiers
- ISSN
- 1719-3109
Article
- Journal title
- Relevé des maladies transmissibles au Canada
- Journal volume
- 48
- Journal issue
- 7/8
Relation
- Is translation of:
- https://open-science.canada.ca/handle/123456789/689
Citation(s)
Ogden NH, Turgeon P, Fazil A, Clark J, Gabriele-Rivet V, Tam T, Ng V. Scénarios contrefactuels des effets de la vaccination et des mesures de santé publique sur les cas de COVID-19 au Canada : qu’est-ce qui aurait pu arriver? Relevé des maladies transmissibles au Canada 2022;48(7/8):322–33. https://doi.org/10.14745/ccdr.v48i78a01f